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The Rocks Don’t Lie,

                          But They Can Be Misunderstood





         Allen F. Glazner, Dept. of Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA, afg@
         unc.edu; Victor R. Baker, Dept. of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA; John M. Bartley, Dept.
         of Geology and Geophysics, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Kevin M. Bohacs, KMBohacs GEOconsulting LLC, Houston, Texas,
         USA; Drew S. Coleman, Dept. of Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA


         ABSTRACT                            familiar materials and processes at the   nicely complements Chamberlin’s views.
          Although the adage “the rocks don’t lie”   Earth’s surface influences the interpretation   Gilbert distinguished between investigators
         is true—rocks are literal ground truth—their   of features that formed at unfamiliar rates   and theorists and viewed geology as investi-
         message can be misinterpreted. More gener-  and/or physical conditions. The rocks don’t   gative. He argued that geologic hypotheses
         ally, it is misguided to favor one form of   lie, but preconceptions and human experi-  rarely arise from theory, but rather through
         inquiry, such as field observation, over oth-  ence can cause us to misinterpret what they   analogical reasoning inspired by the direct
         ers, including laboratory analyses, physical   reveal to us.           study of nature (Gilbert, 1896). Gilbert’s
         experiments, and mathematical or compu-                                emphasis on analogy and fruitfulness in the
         tational simulations. This was recognized   A Warning from the Distant Past  origin of geological hypotheses has been
         more than a century ago by T.C. Chamberlin,   In his classic, oft-discussed paper, “The   analyzed in  detail  by  Baker (2014,  2017).
         who warned against premature adherence to   Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses,”   Gilbert (1896, p.  12) stated an important
         a “ruling theory,” and by G.K. Gilbert, who   Chamberlin (1890) cautioned of the “blind-  caveat regarding field investigations:
         emphasized the investigative nature of   ing influence” of a “ruling” or “premature”   “However grand, however widely accepted,
         geological reasoning. Geologic research   theory. Because Chamberlin’s advocacy of   however useful its conclusion, [no hypothe-
         involves a search for fruitful, coherent, and   keeping a nimble mind for one’s scientific   sis] is  so sure that it cannot be called in
         causal hypotheses that are consistent with all   work was written in the wordy, stilted, and   question by a newly discovered fact. In the
         the relevant evidence and tests provided by   androcentric prose of  his  time,  we  have   domain of the world’s knowledge there is
         the natural world, and field observation is   rewritten and condensed a key portion in   no infallibility.”
         perhaps the most fertile source of new geo-  more modern language:       The investigative nature of geological
         logic hypotheses. Hypotheses that are con-  The moment that you come up with an   research has been emphasized recently by
         sistent with other relevant evidence survive   explanation for a phenomenon, you develop   philosophers of science. Just as some crime
         and are strengthened; those that conflict   affection for your intellectual child, and   scene  evidence  (e.g.,  fingerprints  or  DNA)
         with relevant evidence must be either revised   with time this grows ever stronger. You pro-  can be highly conclusive for detective inves-
         or discarded.                        ceed rapidly to acceptance of the theory, fol-  tigations, so geological questions may be
                                              lowed by unconscious selection of data that
                                              fit and unconscious neglect of data that do   most effectively resolved by what Cleland
         INTRODUCTION                         not. Your mind lingers with pleasure on   (2013) termed a “smoking gun.” Cleland
                                              facts that confirm the theory and feels a   cited as  an  example  the  bolide  impact
         The Critical Importance of Field     natural coldness  toward those  that  do not.   hypothesis for the end-Cretaceous extinc-
                                              You search instinctively for data that fit, for
         Observations                         the mind is led by its desires. When these   tions (Alvarez et al., 1980), where excess
          Geology is largely a field-based science,   biases set in, collection of data and their   iridium and shocked quartz provide two bar-
         and field evidence has long been given pri-  interpretation are dominated by affection for   rels. Cleland argued that the search for a
         macy in interpretation of the Earth. This is   the favored theory until you are convinced   smoking gun works especially well for dis-
         sometimes expressed as “the rocks don’t lie.”   that it has been overwhelmingly confirmed.   tinguishing among the multiple hypotheses
                                              It then rises to a position of mind control,
         Rocks do indeed record Earth’s history and   guiding  observation  and  interpretation—  that commonly arise in historical natural
         information about processes that link the lith-  from a favored child into your master.  sciences such as geology.
         osphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere, and bio-  When this last stage has been reached,
         sphere. Understanding this record requires   unless the theory happens to be correct, all   Fieldwork is Challenging
         proper interpretation of field observations.  hope of progress is gone.  The universe of observable features in
          As field geologists, we have learned that                             geologic fieldwork is vast, so we must filter
         the interpretation of field evidence is strongly   The Nature of Geologic   what we see to avoid paralysis. A soil scien-
         shaped by what one has been taught as well   Investigations            tist might pay little attention to granite bed-
         as by prevailing theories and reigning para-  Gilbert (1886, 1896) described the meth-  rock, whereas a granite petrologist  would
         digms.  Moreover,  one’s  experience  with   ods of geological research in a way that   likely do the opposite. This makes it difficult

         GSA Today, v. 32, https://doi.org/10.1130/GSAT535A.1. CC-BY-NC.

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