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Tectonics                                                           of biogeography, sedimentary environments, and ever more
                                                                    precise and subtle paleomagnetic work, the task of working out
E.M. Moores, Department of Geology, University of California,       actual plate boundaries in the Paleozoic, as distinguished from
Davis, California 95616                                             continental positions, has proven elusive. One complicating factor
                                                                    is that the continents are made up of more separate pieces than we
  Ten years ago, tectonics was basking in the first flush of        originally thought.
success after the plate-tectonics revolution. People were still
applying modern models to whatever existing data they could           Third, it seemed relatively easy to use ophiolite complexes as a
get their hands on. It seemed clear how geology reflected plate-    tool to calibrate the rate of spreading of ancient oceans. This also
tectonic processes, and how broad patterns of evolution related     has turned out not to be the case. The oceanic crust has itself
to continental drift. The first attempts at relating Alpine         proven to be so complex that any simple comparison with ophio­
tectonics to plate-tectonic processes were being hailed as the      litic pseudostratigraphy is probably wrong. Ophiolites themselves
greatest contribution since Argand by some Alpine geologists        have proven to be complex and of uncertain significance.
and dismissed as more English language geo-trash by others.
Early attempts had been made to relate actualistic processes to       Fourth, the prediction that plate-tectonic processes would be
Precambrian terrains. Mantle plumes seemed to be a tectonic         easy to apply to the Precambrian has proven to be an oversimplifi-
“rosetta stone” relating absolute motions at the surface to deep    cation. Paleomagnetic work on Proterozoic rocks has been a great
mantle or even core processes.                                      deterrent to simple application of our actualistic models, although
                                                                    the latter clearly are applicable in some instances.
  As for predictions, first it seemed that the then-popular
attempts to relate Cordilleran or Appalachian tectonics to            Hardly anyone predicted surprises such as the spectacular
simplistic “single-stage” subduction zones were likely to undergo   success of slip-line field theory in explaining the active tectonics
revision as new information became available and ideas became       of continental collision zones, or the COCORP results from the
more sophisticated. Indeed, the evidence for collage tectonics      southern Appalachians, and the resultant rapid progress toward
had been apparent since Warren Hamilton’s early plate-tectonic      understanding the nonrigid tectonics of collisional regions.
papers in the late 60s and my “crashing island arc” idea,
published in 1970. No one would have ever predicted, however,         Several predictions for the next ten years come to mind:
that “suspect terranes” would, as one wag has put it, “multiply     (1) The widespread and increasing availability of computer
like rabbits,” or that some of the chief proponents of “noncolli-   programs will make the generation of structural models from
sion tectonics” of 1973 would become the torch bearers a decade     gravity, seismic, and magnetic data as widespread in academia and
later for “suspect terranes.”                                       government as they currently are in industry. Such models will
                                                                    become an integral part of regional structural geology, a fact
  Second, it seemed that the use of indirect means, such as pale-   that will be reflected in most student theses. (2) The crystalline
ontology and biogeographic provinces, would make the working        cores of all Phanerozoic mountain ranges will prove to be as
out of Paleozoic plate-tectonic boundaries easy. This has proven    allochthonous as the Appalachians. (3) The Andes will prove to
not to be the case. Despite great progress through the integration  be a poor example of the classic “Andean-style” plate boundary.
                                                                    (4) Precambrian orogenic belts will prove to be as allochthonous
                                                                    as Phanerozoic ones. (5) Continental fragmentation and reassembly
                                                                    will turn out to have been at least as frequent in the Proterozoic as
                                                                    in the Phanerozoic.

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